Lights installation, Photo by Pierre Châtel-Innocenti on Unsplash

Future building energy & power demand pathways

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This project is developing a full national building stock model capable of evaluating the impact of energy saving measures.

Future building energy and power demand pathways (modelling UK built environment demand and its interaction with the energy system using empirical data)

The aim of this project is to provide the tools for central and local decision makers and stakeholders to plan the future development of the built environment to reduce energy and power demands and deliver low carbon outcomes. This builds on significant advances in modelling the building stock via 3DStock and SimStock. For the first time, it will be possible to provide a geo-located, 3 dimensionally articulated, representation of every building in the stock (residential and non-residential) in which the use types at each level of each building are known. The empirical data forming the foundation of this model have already been accessed, processed and linked. Pilot statistical analysis and building simulation trials have been conducted for test regions. This will go further by developing a full national building stock model capable of evaluating the impact of energy saving measures and combinations of measures in both spatial and temporal dimensions.

What we are asking

  • What is the current building heat demand and how is it geo-located and varying in time (diurnally and seasonally)?
  • How will future energy efficiency programmes alter spatial and temporal energy use?
  • How large are the uncertainties in NHM predictions using EHS data compared to 3DStock data?

Banner photo credit: Pierre Châtel-Innocenti on Unsplash

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